since1996
03-13 01:04 PM
That is correct, 9 months and then I will return to my country for good.
I am waiting for the day when we get the GC , we will tear it into pieces and throw in front of consulate.
Cheers
donate $5K if you do this.....so Just Do It!
I am waiting for the day when we get the GC , we will tear it into pieces and throw in front of consulate.
Cheers
donate $5K if you do this.....so Just Do It!
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smisachu
07-30 11:47 AM
You can trade commodities like stocks by taking a directional bet on long term price movement. But this is what you need to consider. Stocks always trade in Spot. If you buy MSFT you own shares of Microsoft today. Although single stock futures (SSF) are available now we will not look at derivatives right now.
Commodities are traded as futures. You can buy Soy futures today for December delivery or lean hogs for dec 2010 delivery.
Under conditions of No-Arbitrage the price of the future will be the price of the spot plus storage and delivery costs. If for example 3 month LSC (Light Sweet crude) is trading on NYMEX at $60; the cost of storage and delivery is say $20 for 3 months. Then 6 month LSC should be trading at $80. But if you look at the contract it might be trading at $55.
The reason being fundamentals. The peak driving season or the hurricane season is over and heating oil season is not yet on us or by looking at weather derivatives traders are factoring in milder winter. The leader of Iran has declared he will step down from office and retire to Hawaii, the rebels in Nigeria have turned themselves in and joined a church missionary..stuff like that.
So you might believe these fundamental assumptions or you might do your own research and say that the traders are wrong and they are discounting critical factors and the price should be more. So you can go long the future and hope for an increase in price and sell the future before delivery for a profit. This is the expensive route but you will never be wiped out for sure. Price of crude may drop but will never go to zero.
Or you trade options on the futures, for example:
Borrow money (leverage) buy the call; short delta units of the future contract and invest the proceeds at the risk free rate.
If you are correct the call will end up in the money, the shorted futures will loose value but since it is “delta” units it is only a portion of the position and the invested money will earn you the risk free rate. So you make some money on the call and loose some on the hedge and net you will profit. (Hopefully to cover the transaction costs and taxes)
If you are wrong (price falls) your call will expire worth less so you are wiped out there, your short will increase in value and you will still earn the risk free rate. So although net you will loose money it will not be as much as a naked call because of delta hedging.
This is explained in very very simple terms. Each transaction step will indicate modeling prices to know if the future is priced correctly, if the option is priced correctly and if the leverage you are getting is correct. Plus modeling future price movements and expected rate of returns and the most primary thing in any transaction the “Alpha”. Source of alpha should be very clearly defined. Let me go a bit deep and include some simple math:
E[R] = Alpha + betaR + epsalon
Where E[R] is the expected return-(see statists for more on expectation functions.)
alphais the excess return
betaR is market return or what the price of the commodity does in the duration chosen. (Market betais 1)
epsalonis error term or un explained return.
(Sorry the greek symbols did not display so I wrote words)
This is a kindergarten model of modeling your alpha. As there are many variables you will use a multi variant model to figure out return. Plus as I said in my previous post you have to model jumps. Jumps are spikes of very short duration which will only be seen in a log normal price distribution. A Gaussian distribution might not be changed much because of a spike of small duration. For example if you are trading electricity and the temperature in NJ hits 110 degrees, there is going to be a spike on that day for electricity prices but this will fall as soon as temperature falls.
And the core issue of all is you need to have access to products as indicated by puddonhead plus money and leverage capacity and risk bearing capacity. As you see this is not for the faint of heart or for some one to do part time. If you are really sophisticated and can do this with good resources, fine or else my advice is stick to stocks or stock derivatives. Hedge funds have teams of quants and super computers sitting and doing this every day. They will vacuum out even the slightest of alpha out there; they will simply take your money if you enter into a wrong trade. If someone is a quant and does this for a living then if his contract allows it or if his licensing allows it legally he can do it on the side but apart from it definitely not something the retail investor should indulge in. Just invest in some ETF like GLD or USO or some commodity mutual funds at the max.
Best of luck!!
Commodities are traded as futures. You can buy Soy futures today for December delivery or lean hogs for dec 2010 delivery.
Under conditions of No-Arbitrage the price of the future will be the price of the spot plus storage and delivery costs. If for example 3 month LSC (Light Sweet crude) is trading on NYMEX at $60; the cost of storage and delivery is say $20 for 3 months. Then 6 month LSC should be trading at $80. But if you look at the contract it might be trading at $55.
The reason being fundamentals. The peak driving season or the hurricane season is over and heating oil season is not yet on us or by looking at weather derivatives traders are factoring in milder winter. The leader of Iran has declared he will step down from office and retire to Hawaii, the rebels in Nigeria have turned themselves in and joined a church missionary..stuff like that.
So you might believe these fundamental assumptions or you might do your own research and say that the traders are wrong and they are discounting critical factors and the price should be more. So you can go long the future and hope for an increase in price and sell the future before delivery for a profit. This is the expensive route but you will never be wiped out for sure. Price of crude may drop but will never go to zero.
Or you trade options on the futures, for example:
Borrow money (leverage) buy the call; short delta units of the future contract and invest the proceeds at the risk free rate.
If you are correct the call will end up in the money, the shorted futures will loose value but since it is “delta” units it is only a portion of the position and the invested money will earn you the risk free rate. So you make some money on the call and loose some on the hedge and net you will profit. (Hopefully to cover the transaction costs and taxes)
If you are wrong (price falls) your call will expire worth less so you are wiped out there, your short will increase in value and you will still earn the risk free rate. So although net you will loose money it will not be as much as a naked call because of delta hedging.
This is explained in very very simple terms. Each transaction step will indicate modeling prices to know if the future is priced correctly, if the option is priced correctly and if the leverage you are getting is correct. Plus modeling future price movements and expected rate of returns and the most primary thing in any transaction the “Alpha”. Source of alpha should be very clearly defined. Let me go a bit deep and include some simple math:
E[R] = Alpha + betaR + epsalon
Where E[R] is the expected return-(see statists for more on expectation functions.)
alphais the excess return
betaR is market return or what the price of the commodity does in the duration chosen. (Market betais 1)
epsalonis error term or un explained return.
(Sorry the greek symbols did not display so I wrote words)
This is a kindergarten model of modeling your alpha. As there are many variables you will use a multi variant model to figure out return. Plus as I said in my previous post you have to model jumps. Jumps are spikes of very short duration which will only be seen in a log normal price distribution. A Gaussian distribution might not be changed much because of a spike of small duration. For example if you are trading electricity and the temperature in NJ hits 110 degrees, there is going to be a spike on that day for electricity prices but this will fall as soon as temperature falls.
And the core issue of all is you need to have access to products as indicated by puddonhead plus money and leverage capacity and risk bearing capacity. As you see this is not for the faint of heart or for some one to do part time. If you are really sophisticated and can do this with good resources, fine or else my advice is stick to stocks or stock derivatives. Hedge funds have teams of quants and super computers sitting and doing this every day. They will vacuum out even the slightest of alpha out there; they will simply take your money if you enter into a wrong trade. If someone is a quant and does this for a living then if his contract allows it or if his licensing allows it legally he can do it on the side but apart from it definitely not something the retail investor should indulge in. Just invest in some ETF like GLD or USO or some commodity mutual funds at the max.
Best of luck!!
kushaljn
09-17 02:22 PM
Smith is bringing his 8th ammendment. Lets just sleep guys.
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gene77
08-11 11:41 AM
EB3-I, Oct 19 2004.
God bless us all in EB3.
God bless us all in EB3.
more...
like_watching_paint_dry
04-28 12:06 AM
Dang! I need to hire a secretary to track all the stuff that N-400 needs :(
panky72
08-22 01:48 PM
Finally I am a US citizen after being 10+ years in this country. This is one of my biggest fulfillments and it means everything to me. US is just not home anymore for me, it is my country.
I wish everyone the best and hope they get GC very soon.
Proud to be an indian-american and legal immigrant.
Good Luck!
Congratulations. I think its a positive thing that people still come to IV to contribute and help to fix the broken immigration system even after they get their GC and citizenship.
I wish everyone the best and hope they get GC very soon.
Proud to be an indian-american and legal immigrant.
Good Luck!
Congratulations. I think its a positive thing that people still come to IV to contribute and help to fix the broken immigration system even after they get their GC and citizenship.
more...
shree19772000
01-29 05:47 PM
Looking forward for this to be implemented....
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gc_boy
04-08 01:59 PM
3- 5 business days
more...
GC_SUCK
03-16 03:06 PM
Guys,
Don't make me scream. I am about to file my I-140 next week. And your posts are making me very nervous.
Please tell me there is reason you got this kind of RFE?
Don't make me scream. I am about to file my I-140 next week. And your posts are making me very nervous.
Please tell me there is reason you got this kind of RFE?
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kdprasad
07-11 11:22 AM
I think one very serious point in favor of filing now is if you do not file, and the lawsuit is successful in about a year and a half as they say and your PD hasn't become current by then, it puts everyone who filed in July ahead of you and this might cause the USCIS to retrogress visa numbers to such an extent that it would take ten years for your PD to get current again. Would this be a correct assessment?
Where did you get the information that it would take a year and half. Is it just a guess!!!
Where did you get the information that it would take a year and half. Is it just a guess!!!
more...
arunmohan
06-12 01:44 PM
Is IV interested in doing a Freedom Of Information Act request to USCIS how and when they used up all visa numbers for EB3-India. That might show some information if they cooked the numbers if at all. We might get some more insight which monthly VISA bulletin does NOT give.
Yes I do agree with you. This is a most affected category. As an organization IV can request from USCIS and individually we cannot ask.
All EB3-India filers:
Please come and join this thread and give your opinion.
Yes I do agree with you. This is a most affected category. As an organization IV can request from USCIS and individually we cannot ask.
All EB3-India filers:
Please come and join this thread and give your opinion.
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sam_hoosier
11-26 04:04 PM
After talking to my lawyer, I have decided to forego my H1B renewal and instead move to EAD. This allows me the flexibility to move to better roles with my current employer, as well as other employers.
As has been mentioned on some other threads, the most common reasons for your I-485 denial (fraud, out of status, communicable disease, criminal or felon etc.) would probably also mean that you are ineligible for an H1B too. As long as you are confident that you do not fall into any of these categories, the risk is very minimal.
As has been mentioned on some other threads, the most common reasons for your I-485 denial (fraud, out of status, communicable disease, criminal or felon etc.) would probably also mean that you are ineligible for an H1B too. As long as you are confident that you do not fall into any of these categories, the risk is very minimal.
more...
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Mayday
03-30 08:02 PM
oh and yes, it is easy to file a claim with DOL on your employer - since YOU paid the fees employers has already did bad.
the form is WH-4 - http://www.dol.gov/whd/forms/wh-4.pdf
here is the article on this matter - Underpaid the Prevailing Wage? 5 Reasons an H-1B Employer Should Settle Your Complaint � U.S. Business and Immigration Law (http://vkvisalaw.wordpress.com/2008/11/14/underpaid-the-prevailing-wage-5-reasons-an-h-1b-employer-should-settle-your-complaint/) - it is about underpaying, but it contains other things important to you.
you may actually settle an agreement with this employer, so that he pays you paystubs you could use for H-1 transfer so that you do not go to courts. But have a lawyer involved in this.
the form is WH-4 - http://www.dol.gov/whd/forms/wh-4.pdf
here is the article on this matter - Underpaid the Prevailing Wage? 5 Reasons an H-1B Employer Should Settle Your Complaint � U.S. Business and Immigration Law (http://vkvisalaw.wordpress.com/2008/11/14/underpaid-the-prevailing-wage-5-reasons-an-h-1b-employer-should-settle-your-complaint/) - it is about underpaying, but it contains other things important to you.
you may actually settle an agreement with this employer, so that he pays you paystubs you could use for H-1 transfer so that you do not go to courts. But have a lawyer involved in this.
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gsc999
07-11 06:47 PM
Did you guys alert Lofgren's office about this?
(408) 271-8700
--
I won't like to take names on public forum of the Congress members we have/will approach. But to answer you question, we are taking all necessary steps to make this walk a success. Also, the measure of success will be a large turn-out by legals to protest, which in itself is unprecedented. We won't like to marry the success of this protest with the presence of any particular Congress member or Senator at this time. The bottomline is, media coverage for our issue.
(408) 271-8700
--
I won't like to take names on public forum of the Congress members we have/will approach. But to answer you question, we are taking all necessary steps to make this walk a success. Also, the measure of success will be a large turn-out by legals to protest, which in itself is unprecedented. We won't like to marry the success of this protest with the presence of any particular Congress member or Senator at this time. The bottomline is, media coverage for our issue.
more...
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Openarms
06-12 11:54 AM
Is IV interested in doing a Freedom Of Information Act request to USCIS how and when they used up all visa numbers for EB3-India. That might show some information if they cooked the numbers if at all. We might get some more insight which monthly VISA bulletin does NOT give.
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sc3
07-02 07:08 PM
leave my indian employer soon. they are saying they have 90 days notice period.... which was set from india. I work in ohio which has "employment at will" law... I am not going to serve the full notice period..... but if they deduct any money..... I am going fight like hell.... planning to complain to DOL and state govt office......I will keep updated on what happens....
"Employment at will" does not invalidate your notice period requirements. If you have an agreement with your company for a notice period, as long as it is not unduly restrictive, 90 days is probably arguably restrictive, you will have to honor your word.
"Employment at will" does not invalidate your notice period requirements. If you have an agreement with your company for a notice period, as long as it is not unduly restrictive, 90 days is probably arguably restrictive, you will have to honor your word.
more...
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gsc999
07-11 08:43 PM
I just got to this forum through some means and saw this thread. I work at Oracle and so I have sent it to the Oracle mailing lists for their support
---
Vinoddas: thanks for forwarding our message.
Can you also help with putting some flyers at Oracle food canteen? I have been there once. Lot of foot traffic. Please PM me your e-mail address. I will send you the soft copy of the flyer.
---
Vinoddas: thanks for forwarding our message.
Can you also help with putting some flyers at Oracle food canteen? I have been there once. Lot of foot traffic. Please PM me your e-mail address. I will send you the soft copy of the flyer.
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pmb76
07-14 05:06 PM
I plan to send this petition to all senior executives of Time Warner Inc by Priority Mail and Fax. CNN is a fully owned subsidiary of Time Warner Inc.
http://www.petitionspot.com/petitions/loudobbs
http://www.petitionspot.com/petitions/loudobbs
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manusingh
12-23 12:15 PM
Hi All
I have been following this thread for the last few days and wanted to share some info. Hoping it would be useful.
I entered the country in Jan 08 using the AP while I was still working for my GC sponsoring employer. Then in June 08 I joined another employer by transferring my H1B to the new employer. I did have the option of using EAD but I wasn't sure if the renewal will come before the expiry of current EAD. So decided to transfer H1 and my new employer graciously agreed to it.
We did a premium transfer so got the approval in 2 weeks. Money does wonders (Almost like the proverbial paper weight with files). I confirm that the I94# number on I797 approval notice is same as the I94# number I got when entering the country in Jan 08.
So this should be a good news for folks who are trying to do the same. I am in a different boat right now. I have to travel to India this November. I plan to return using AP. But now my employer is different from my GC sponsoring employer. Another issue is that I am going only for two weeks while my wife will be in India till Mid Jan. So we will enter US separately using AP. Please share your thoughts if you have been in this situation.
Can you pl update about your second entry via AP, after H-1B transfer. Did you entered successfully.
regards
I have been following this thread for the last few days and wanted to share some info. Hoping it would be useful.
I entered the country in Jan 08 using the AP while I was still working for my GC sponsoring employer. Then in June 08 I joined another employer by transferring my H1B to the new employer. I did have the option of using EAD but I wasn't sure if the renewal will come before the expiry of current EAD. So decided to transfer H1 and my new employer graciously agreed to it.
We did a premium transfer so got the approval in 2 weeks. Money does wonders (Almost like the proverbial paper weight with files). I confirm that the I94# number on I797 approval notice is same as the I94# number I got when entering the country in Jan 08.
So this should be a good news for folks who are trying to do the same. I am in a different boat right now. I have to travel to India this November. I plan to return using AP. But now my employer is different from my GC sponsoring employer. Another issue is that I am going only for two weeks while my wife will be in India till Mid Jan. So we will enter US separately using AP. Please share your thoughts if you have been in this situation.
Can you pl update about your second entry via AP, after H-1B transfer. Did you entered successfully.
regards
ilikekilo
04-15 01:32 PM
Sameet and others,
I checked with both pediatrician and Civil surgeon and they both are of the opinion that TST test would not impact a nursing mom.
My attorney told me that my wife needs to get back before her scheduled trip. This would incur huge costs plus it would be difficult to get the seat arrangements. ( We have a twins and we have seats with bassinets for the infants). My father is also travelling with her.
Is it possible to ask 1 month extension for RFE based on the difficulties. I'm EB3 IND PD 2003 and I dont think our I-485 is waiting for adjudication any time soon.
I've scheduled an infopass appointment tomorrow. What are the chances of getting an extension when I present my case to IO?
I'm worried and it makes us very anxious.
GCisaDawg
Hey, sorry for your situation, I can only imagine, I cant even manage one here..:rolleyes:
pun aside, here is my 2 cents
1) did you talk to your lawyer?
2) if # 1 is ruled out or of no use, I would personally draft a letter showing that she is travellling right now and with kids and it would be extremely difficult to get her TB test done as you cant get it done by that RFE due date. add some more stuff telling your situation as to why she cant come right away due to the stuff you mentioned (kids/babies ). IAm sure you WILL get it exteneded.
you made a good point here - Is it possible to ask 1 month extension for RFE based on the difficulties. I'm EB3 IND PD 2003 and I dont think our I-485 is waiting for adjudication any time soon.
so bottomline I would not go empty handed, go with a typed letter. if you need anything esle PM me...
I checked with both pediatrician and Civil surgeon and they both are of the opinion that TST test would not impact a nursing mom.
My attorney told me that my wife needs to get back before her scheduled trip. This would incur huge costs plus it would be difficult to get the seat arrangements. ( We have a twins and we have seats with bassinets for the infants). My father is also travelling with her.
Is it possible to ask 1 month extension for RFE based on the difficulties. I'm EB3 IND PD 2003 and I dont think our I-485 is waiting for adjudication any time soon.
I've scheduled an infopass appointment tomorrow. What are the chances of getting an extension when I present my case to IO?
I'm worried and it makes us very anxious.
GCisaDawg
Hey, sorry for your situation, I can only imagine, I cant even manage one here..:rolleyes:
pun aside, here is my 2 cents
1) did you talk to your lawyer?
2) if # 1 is ruled out or of no use, I would personally draft a letter showing that she is travellling right now and with kids and it would be extremely difficult to get her TB test done as you cant get it done by that RFE due date. add some more stuff telling your situation as to why she cant come right away due to the stuff you mentioned (kids/babies ). IAm sure you WILL get it exteneded.
you made a good point here - Is it possible to ask 1 month extension for RFE based on the difficulties. I'm EB3 IND PD 2003 and I dont think our I-485 is waiting for adjudication any time soon.
so bottomline I would not go empty handed, go with a typed letter. if you need anything esle PM me...
tinamatthew
07-18 03:29 PM
When I applied for my wife who was on L2, it took 14 days.
That is one of the fastest EADs I've heard? Pretty good
That is one of the fastest EADs I've heard? Pretty good
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